Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 76.724799 86.132283 95.780164 106.383322 117.678570 129.322467 142.203995
2024-12-22 62.052807 75.480235 89.891976 106.385272 124.617492 144.043421 166.194654
2024-12-29 54.019348 69.753408 87.207656 107.751280 131.026715 156.356798 185.788593
2025-01-05 48.315943 65.781817 85.720447 109.746429 137.517453 168.251268 204.485749
2025-01-12 42.102535 60.493284 82.095973 108.724500 140.087964 175.336780 217.443921
2025-01-19 36.146983 54.921567 77.625104 106.243111 140.563870 179.699591 227.021022
2025-01-26 34.011272 53.886448 78.440094 109.889287 148.085390 192.077027 245.710352
2025-02-02 31.688528 52.376685 78.484002 112.447416 154.198523 202.738943 262.374425
2025-02-09 28.086788 48.862223 75.751065 111.368039 155.758301 207.914692 272.541344
2025-02-16 24.895353 45.633548 73.162485 110.274466 157.140348 212.755785 282.217894
2025-02-23 22.810898 43.784974 72.244378 111.185342 160.900859 220.380649 295.149281
2025-03-02 20.540478 41.473146 70.556113 110.978348 163.172256 226.140299 305.812691
2025-03-09 18.743864 39.754296 69.611940 111.721339 166.661208 233.445368 318.443996
2025-03-16 16.518444 37.178310 67.332811 110.583812 167.682147 237.681626 327.356220
2025-03-23 15.317954 36.125913 67.129256 112.166288 172.144738 246.134470 341.372591
2025-03-30 14.343279 35.357590 67.275241 114.181307 177.143254 255.246850 356.205446
2025-04-06 12.644985 33.198260 65.263648 113.138901 178.087258 259.254721 364.761383
2025-04-13 10.752525 30.485073 62.266842 110.595056 176.952692 260.574430 369.948894
2025-04-20 10.477933 30.707775 63.732294 114.331822 184.150635 272.430744 388.186998
2025-04-27 9.974071 30.448439 64.423251 116.952712 189.858938 282.409944 404.123343
2025-05-04 8.730769 28.621384 62.564060 115.846916 190.516952 285.927651 412.004998
2025-05-11 7.605271 26.885757 60.749986 114.726472 191.094819 289.300939 419.678628
2025-05-18 6.951987 26.059990 60.362993 115.659736 194.444275 296.227551 431.808780